Tom Pelphrey leads the closely contested Emmys race for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series at 42.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Patrick Ball at 34%, as traders weigh his standout, empathetic turn as a desperate single father in “Task” against heavy competition from “The Pitt.” Three nominees from the medical drama—Ball, Shawn Hatosy (12.5%), and Gerran Howell (0.6%)—create significant vote-splitting risk in a category where ensemble shows often dilute support. “The Pitt”’s dominant 25 nominations underscore its critical and guild momentum, yet Pelphrey’s performance has drawn consistent precursor praise for emotional depth without similar internal division. Billy Crudup, Jack Lowden, and Carlos-Manuel Vesga trail with single-digit odds, reflecting limited late momentum. Final voting closes soon ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving room for last-minute shifts based on voter sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 43%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 35%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” 12.3%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 3.4%
$42,069 Wol.
$42,069 Wol.
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
43%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
35%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
12%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
3%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
2%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
1%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
1%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 43%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 35%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” 12.3%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 3.4%
$42,069 Wol.
$42,069 Wol.
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
43%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
35%
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
12%
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
3%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
2%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
1%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Tom Pelphrey leads the closely contested Emmys race for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series at 42.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Patrick Ball at 34%, as traders weigh his standout, empathetic turn as a desperate single father in “Task” against heavy competition from “The Pitt.” Three nominees from the medical drama—Ball, Shawn Hatosy (12.5%), and Gerran Howell (0.6%)—create significant vote-splitting risk in a category where ensemble shows often dilute support. “The Pitt”’s dominant 25 nominations underscore its critical and guild momentum, yet Pelphrey’s performance has drawn consistent precursor praise for emotional depth without similar internal division. Billy Crudup, Jack Lowden, and Carlos-Manuel Vesga trail with single-digit odds, reflecting limited late momentum. Final voting closes soon ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving room for last-minute shifts based on voter sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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