Banksy’s characteristically infrequent Instagram activity underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability that the @banksy account will not post again before September 30. The account has maintained a total of just 154 posts as of mid-September 2026, reflecting the artist’s long-standing pattern of sporadic updates tied to specific street-art reveals, controversies, or campaigns rather than routine engagement. A September 18 post calling out Guess for unauthorized use of the “Flower Thrower” mural marked the most recent activity, yet no follow-up announcements, exhibitions, or viral moments have emerged in the subsequent days to suggest momentum toward another upload. With only nine days remaining and no confirmed catalysts on the horizon, trader consensus aligns with historical precedent that Banksy rarely accelerates his posting rhythm on short notice.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日バンクシーは9月30日までにInstagramに投稿しますか？
バンクシーは9月30日までにInstagramに投稿しますか？
はい
32% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
32% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s characteristically infrequent Instagram activity underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability that the @banksy account will not post again before September 30. The account has maintained a total of just 154 posts as of mid-September 2026, reflecting the artist’s long-standing pattern of sporadic updates tied to specific street-art reveals, controversies, or campaigns rather than routine engagement. A September 18 post calling out Guess for unauthorized use of the “Flower Thrower” mural marked the most recent activity, yet no follow-up announcements, exhibitions, or viral moments have emerged in the subsequent days to suggest momentum toward another upload. With only nine days remaining and no confirmed catalysts on the horizon, trader consensus aligns with historical precedent that Banksy rarely accelerates his posting rhythm on short notice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
音量
$1,381終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s characteristically infrequent Instagram activity underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability that the @banksy account will not post again before September 30. The account has maintained a total of just 154 posts as of mid-September 2026, reflecting the artist’s long-standing pattern of sporadic updates tied to specific street-art reveals, controversies, or campaigns rather than routine engagement. A September 18 post calling out Guess for unauthorized use of the “Flower Thrower” mural marked the most recent activity, yet no follow-up announcements, exhibitions, or viral moments have emerged in the subsequent days to suggest momentum toward another upload. With only nine days remaining and no confirmed catalysts on the horizon, trader consensus aligns with historical precedent that Banksy rarely accelerates his posting rhythm on short notice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
音量
$1,381終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ETBanksy’s characteristically infrequent Instagram activity underpins the 71.5% market-implied probability that the @banksy account will not post again before September 30. The account has maintained a total of just 154 posts as of mid-September 2026, reflecting the artist’s long-standing pattern of sporadic updates tied to specific street-art reveals, controversies, or campaigns rather than routine engagement. A September 18 post calling out Guess for unauthorized use of the “Flower Thrower” mural marked the most recent activity, yet no follow-up announcements, exhibitions, or viral moments have emerged in the subsequent days to suggest momentum toward another upload. With only nine days remaining and no confirmed catalysts on the horizon, trader consensus aligns with historical precedent that Banksy rarely accelerates his posting rhythm on short notice.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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