Banksy’s verified Instagram account has maintained a pattern of infrequent posts, with the most recent confirmed activity on September 18 addressing a Guess collaboration dispute and no subsequent updates through September 20. Traders price the “No” outcome at 71% implied probability because the artist’s social media cadence aligns with major street-art reveals or statements rather than routine engagement, and the remaining ten days lack announced catalysts such as new murals or public controversies. Historical gaps between posts and the account’s stable total of 154 entries reinforce expectations of continued silence through month-end, though an unexpected installation could still shift momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日バンクシーは9月30日までにInstagramに投稿しますか？
バンクシーは9月30日までにInstagramに投稿しますか？
はい
30% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
30% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s verified Instagram account has maintained a pattern of infrequent posts, with the most recent confirmed activity on September 18 addressing a Guess collaboration dispute and no subsequent updates through September 20. Traders price the “No” outcome at 71% implied probability because the artist’s social media cadence aligns with major street-art reveals or statements rather than routine engagement, and the remaining ten days lack announced catalysts such as new murals or public controversies. Historical gaps between posts and the account’s stable total of 154 entries reinforce expectations of continued silence through month-end, though an unexpected installation could still shift momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
音量
$1,381終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s verified Instagram account has maintained a pattern of infrequent posts, with the most recent confirmed activity on September 18 addressing a Guess collaboration dispute and no subsequent updates through September 20. Traders price the “No” outcome at 71% implied probability because the artist’s social media cadence aligns with major street-art reveals or statements rather than routine engagement, and the remaining ten days lack announced catalysts such as new murals or public controversies. Historical gaps between posts and the account’s stable total of 154 entries reinforce expectations of continued silence through month-end, though an unexpected installation could still shift momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
音量
$1,381終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ETBanksy’s verified Instagram account has maintained a pattern of infrequent posts, with the most recent confirmed activity on September 18 addressing a Guess collaboration dispute and no subsequent updates through September 20. Traders price the “No” outcome at 71% implied probability because the artist’s social media cadence aligns with major street-art reveals or statements rather than routine engagement, and the remaining ten days lack announced catalysts such as new murals or public controversies. Historical gaps between posts and the account’s stable total of 154 entries reinforce expectations of continued silence through month-end, though an unexpected installation could still shift momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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