Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have implemented new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through a combination of voluntary legislative action, ballot measures, and court rulings. This mid-decade redistricting, unusual outside post-census cycles, followed President Trump’s 2025 push in Republican-led states and the U.S. Supreme Court’s April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais, which narrowed Voting Rights Act requirements for majority-minority districts. Most maps survived legal challenges and primaries have adjusted accordingly, with the general election set for November 3. A handful of other states considered but did not complete changes in time, while further efforts target 2028. Trader focus centers on which additional states might finalize maps before Election Day and how litigation outcomes affect final boundaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$409,408 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
34%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$409,408 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
34%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have implemented new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through a combination of voluntary legislative action, ballot measures, and court rulings. This mid-decade redistricting, unusual outside post-census cycles, followed President Trump’s 2025 push in Republican-led states and the U.S. Supreme Court’s April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais, which narrowed Voting Rights Act requirements for majority-minority districts. Most maps survived legal challenges and primaries have adjusted accordingly, with the general election set for November 3. A handful of other states considered but did not complete changes in time, while further efforts target 2028. Trader focus centers on which additional states might finalize maps before Election Day and how litigation outcomes affect final boundaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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