The September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern produced a narrow AfD plurality at approximately 38 percent, ahead of the SPD at 35 percent, with the Left, Greens, and CDU each near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition lost its majority, while all other parliamentary parties have ruled out cooperation with the AfD. This leaves an SPD-led three-party arrangement with the Left and Greens as the only numerically viable option for a majority government. Coalition talks are expected to begin immediately, with the SPD’s strong personal support for Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and voter preference for continuity shaping the likely outcome over coming weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
リンクェ
95%
SPD
93%
グリューネ
91%
BSW
12%
CDU
5%
FW
4%
FDP
3%
AfD
8%
$9,648 Vol.
リンクェ
$2,887 Vol.
95%
SPD
$2,285 Vol.
93%
グリューネ
$681 Vol.
91%
BSW
$15 Vol.
12%
CDU
$204 Vol.
5%
FW
$681 Vol.
4%
FDP
$1,494 Vol.
3%
AfD
$1,402 Vol.
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.The September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern produced a narrow AfD plurality at approximately 38 percent, ahead of the SPD at 35 percent, with the Left, Greens, and CDU each near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition lost its majority, while all other parliamentary parties have ruled out cooperation with the AfD. This leaves an SPD-led three-party arrangement with the Left and Greens as the only numerically viable option for a majority government. Coalition talks are expected to begin immediately, with the SPD’s strong personal support for Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and voter preference for continuity shaping the likely outcome over coming weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
音量
$9,648終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.The September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern produced a narrow AfD plurality at approximately 38 percent, ahead of the SPD at 35 percent, with the Left, Greens, and CDU each near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition lost its majority, while all other parliamentary parties have ruled out cooperation with the AfD. This leaves an SPD-led three-party arrangement with the Left and Greens as the only numerically viable option for a majority government. Coalition talks are expected to begin immediately, with the SPD’s strong personal support for Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and voter preference for continuity shaping the likely outcome over coming weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
音量
$9,648終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern produced a narrow AfD plurality at approximately 38 percent, ahead of the SPD at 35 percent, with the Left, Greens, and CDU each near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition lost its majority, while all other parliamentary parties have ruled out cooperation with the AfD. This leaves an SPD-led three-party arrangement with the Left and Greens as the only numerically viable option for a majority government. Coalition talks are expected to begin immediately, with the SPD’s strong personal support for Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and voter preference for continuity shaping the likely outcome over coming weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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