The rarity of 5,000 passing yards in a single NFL season underpins the slight lean toward "No" at 55.5% implied probability. Only nine quarterbacks have achieved the mark across 15 instances historically, even after the shift to a 17-game schedule. Current projections for leading passers such as Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Jordan Love cluster between 3,500 and 4,500 yards, reflecting typical per-game outputs of 220-270 yards amid balanced offenses, defensive schemes, and run-game emphasis. Early-season injury reports affecting starters like Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. further limit volume opportunities for contenders, while no signal-caller has sustained the required 294-yard average pace through Week 2. Trader consensus reflects these structural and situational barriers rather than any single matchup dynamic.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player recorded 5,000 or more passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The rarity of 5,000 passing yards in a single NFL season underpins the slight lean toward "No" at 55.5% implied probability. Only nine quarterbacks have achieved the mark across 15 instances historically, even after the shift to a 17-game schedule. Current projections for leading passers such as Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Jordan Love cluster between 3,500 and 4,500 yards, reflecting typical per-game outputs of 220-270 yards amid balanced offenses, defensive schemes, and run-game emphasis. Early-season injury reports affecting starters like Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. further limit volume opportunities for contenders, while no signal-caller has sustained the required 294-yard average pace through Week 2. Trader consensus reflects these structural and situational barriers rather than any single matchup dynamic.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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