Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$35,035 Vol.
$35,035 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
3% 確率
$35,035 Vol.
$35,035 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
音量
$35,035終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$35,035終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings, most recently reaffirming commitments to production stability and market management on September 6, 2026. The group completed phased quota adjustments earlier in the year and shifted focus to capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, maintaining operational continuity despite the UAE's May exit, prior departures such as Angola, and supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. This sustained institutional activity underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against dissolution in 2026. Plausible shifts could still emerge from breakdowns in 2027 quota negotiations or additional high-profile exits if geopolitical pressures intensify further before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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