The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Elif Eralp 52%
Stefan Evers 27%
Werner Graf 10.8%
Steffen Krach 3.9%
$106,658 Vol.
$106,658 Vol.
2026/09/20
Elif Eralp
52%
Stefan Evers
27%
Werner Graf
11%
Steffen Krach
4%
Kristin Brinker
<1%
Elif Eralp 52%
Stefan Evers 27%
Werner Graf 10.8%
Steffen Krach 3.9%
$106,658 Vol.
$106,658 Vol.
2026/09/20
Elif Eralp
$56,790 Vol.
52%
Stefan Evers
$31,094 Vol.
27%
Werner Graf
$13,361 Vol.
11%
Steffen Krach
$2,688 Vol.
4%
Kristin Brinker
$2,725 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
音量
$106,658終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$106,658終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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