Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead at 44 through mid-September 2026, creating a sizable cushion over pursuers such as Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and Junior Caminero at 40. Trader consensus assigns him an 80% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting his consistent power output, including a grand slam in early September and multiple homers in the prior week. Contenders like Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit in the mid-to-high 30s, while names such as Aaron Judge and Juan Soto trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent barrel rates in favorable matchups have solidified his position in the market, though late surges from multiple batters remain possible in the final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Kyle Schwarber 80%
Junior Caminero 3.9%
Matt Olson 1.5%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,183,612 Vol.
$3,183,612 Vol.
2026/10/10
Kyle Schwarber
80%
Junior Caminero
4%
Matt Olson
1%
Yordan Alvarez
1%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
Ben Rice
1%
James Wood
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 80%
Junior Caminero 3.9%
Matt Olson 1.5%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,183,612 Vol.
$3,183,612 Vol.
2026/10/10
Kyle Schwarber
$41,971 Vol.
80%
Junior Caminero
$5,270 Vol.
4%
Matt Olson
$5,408 Vol.
1%
Yordan Alvarez
$14,910 Vol.
1%
Munetaka Murakami
$9,471 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$3,492 Vol.
1%
James Wood
$9,499 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$2,854 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$649,298 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,749,560 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$470,930 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$205,910 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$476 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$659 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$535 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$734 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$827 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead at 44 through mid-September 2026, creating a sizable cushion over pursuers such as Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and Junior Caminero at 40. Trader consensus assigns him an 80% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting his consistent power output, including a grand slam in early September and multiple homers in the prior week. Contenders like Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit in the mid-to-high 30s, while names such as Aaron Judge and Juan Soto trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent barrel rates in favorable matchups have solidified his position in the market, though late surges from multiple batters remain possible in the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
音量
$3,183,612終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead at 44 through mid-September 2026, creating a sizable cushion over pursuers such as Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and Junior Caminero at 40. Trader consensus assigns him an 80% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting his consistent power output, including a grand slam in early September and multiple homers in the prior week. Contenders like Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit in the mid-to-high 30s, while names such as Aaron Judge and Juan Soto trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent barrel rates in favorable matchups have solidified his position in the market, though late surges from multiple batters remain possible in the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,183,612終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds the MLB home run lead at 44 through mid-September 2026, creating a sizable cushion over pursuers such as Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and Junior Caminero at 40. Trader consensus assigns him an 80% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting his consistent power output, including a grand slam in early September and multiple homers in the prior week. Contenders like Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez sit in the mid-to-high 30s, while names such as Aaron Judge and Juan Soto trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining, Schwarber’s pace and recent barrel rates in favorable matchups have solidified his position in the market, though late surges from multiple batters remain possible in the final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問