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icon for FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行

FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行

icon for FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行

FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行

新規
2026/12/31
Polymarket

$4,551 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$2,549 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The FDA's Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee voted 8-6 with one abstention on July 23, 2026, to recommend adding BPC-157 to the 503A Bulk Drug Substances List, reversing staff concerns over limited clinical data, immunogenicity risks, and adverse event reports. This non-binding step followed the peptide's removal from Category 2 earlier in April 2026 and opens a formal notice-and-comment rulemaking process that historically requires eight to twelve months before any change takes effect. Trader consensus reflects the advisory outcome as progress yet assigns lower near-term probability to swift Category 1 placement, given procedural timelines, committee composition scrutiny, and the FDA's discretion to diverge from panel recommendations. No final agency decision has been announced as of mid-September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.

Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.

A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$4,551
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 10:10 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The FDA's Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee voted 8-6 with one abstention on July 23, 2026, to recommend adding BPC-157 to the 503A Bulk Drug Substances List, reversing staff concerns over limited clinical data, immunogenicity risks, and adverse event reports. This non-binding step followed the peptide's removal from Category 2 earlier in April 2026 and opens a formal notice-and-comment rulemaking process that historically requires eight to twelve months before any change takes effect. Trader consensus reflects the advisory outcome as progress yet assigns lower near-term probability to swift Category 1 placement, given procedural timelines, committee composition scrutiny, and the FDA's discretion to diverge from panel recommendations. No final agency decision has been announced as of mid-September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.

Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.

A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$4,551
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 10:10 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で55%、次いで「2026年8月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年8月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FDAがBPC -157をカテゴリー1に移行」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。