**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by its breakout status as Apple TV’s buzzy horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations—including key acting, writing, and directing nods—and strong Creative Arts Emmy wins in technical categories plus guest acting. The freshman series’ tonal balance, critical acclaim, and late eligibility timing created fresh voter excitement that shifted consensus away from **Hacks**, whose final season sits at 19.9% despite its proven track record and high nomination total. Other nominees like **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Only Murders in the Building** trail far behind at under 2%. With the September 14 ceremony days away, the market reflects traders pricing in **Widow’s Bay**’s momentum as the clearest path to an upset over the established frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：傑出したコメディシリーズ
エミー2026 ：傑出したコメディシリーズ
「Widow’s Bay」 80%
「Hacks」 20.1%
アボット・エレメンタリー 1.8%
「ザ・ベア」 1.4%
$101,516 Vol.
$101,516 Vol.
2026/09/14
「Widow’s Bay」
80%
「Hacks」
20%
アボット・エレメンタリー
2%
「ザ・ベア」
1%
オンリー・マーダーズ・イン・ザ・ビルディング
1%
Margo’s Got Money Troubles
1%
「Nobody Wants This」
1%
「シュリンキング」
1%
「Widow’s Bay」 80%
「Hacks」 20.1%
アボット・エレメンタリー 1.8%
「ザ・ベア」 1.4%
$101,516 Vol.
$101,516 Vol.
2026/09/14
「Widow’s Bay」
$38,830 Vol.
80%
「Hacks」
$19,956 Vol.
20%
アボット・エレメンタリー
$6,625 Vol.
2%
「ザ・ベア」
$7,691 Vol.
1%
オンリー・マーダーズ・イン・ザ・ビルディング
$6,091 Vol.
1%
Margo’s Got Money Troubles
$6,638 Vol.
1%
「Nobody Wants This」
$8,448 Vol.
1%
「シュリンキング」
$7,237 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by its breakout status as Apple TV’s buzzy horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations—including key acting, writing, and directing nods—and strong Creative Arts Emmy wins in technical categories plus guest acting. The freshman series’ tonal balance, critical acclaim, and late eligibility timing created fresh voter excitement that shifted consensus away from **Hacks**, whose final season sits at 19.9% despite its proven track record and high nomination total. Other nominees like **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Only Murders in the Building** trail far behind at under 2%. With the September 14 ceremony days away, the market reflects traders pricing in **Widow’s Bay**’s momentum as the clearest path to an upset over the established frontrunner.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
音量
$101,516終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by its breakout status as Apple TV’s buzzy horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations—including key acting, writing, and directing nods—and strong Creative Arts Emmy wins in technical categories plus guest acting. The freshman series’ tonal balance, critical acclaim, and late eligibility timing created fresh voter excitement that shifted consensus away from **Hacks**, whose final season sits at 19.9% despite its proven track record and high nomination total. Other nominees like **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Only Murders in the Building** trail far behind at under 2%. With the September 14 ceremony days away, the market reflects traders pricing in **Widow’s Bay**’s momentum as the clearest path to an upset over the established frontrunner.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$101,516終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Widow’s Bay** has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by its breakout status as Apple TV’s buzzy horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations—including key acting, writing, and directing nods—and strong Creative Arts Emmy wins in technical categories plus guest acting. The freshman series’ tonal balance, critical acclaim, and late eligibility timing created fresh voter excitement that shifted consensus away from **Hacks**, whose final season sits at 19.9% despite its proven track record and high nomination total. Other nominees like **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Only Murders in the Building** trail far behind at under 2%. With the September 14 ceremony days away, the market reflects traders pricing in **Widow’s Bay**’s momentum as the clearest path to an upset over the established frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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