The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, delivered a Grüne vote share of 14.3 percent in preliminary official results, placing the outcome squarely inside the 14-17 percent range. This result reflects a decline of roughly four points from the party's 18.4 percent in 2023, amid a broader shift that saw Die Linke surge to first place while the previous CDU-SPD governing coalition lost ground. Late-campaign polling had consistently shown the Greens in the mid-teens, with limited movement in the final weeks. Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts would need to exceed typical margins to exit the band. Late-breaking developments such as widespread recounts or successful legal challenges to specific precincts remain the primary, though narrow, pathways that could alter the precise share.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日14～17％ 98.0%
14％未満 1.5%
17〜20% <1%
20％以上 <1%
$75,264 Vol.
$75,264 Vol.
2026/09/20
14％未満
2%
14～17％
98%
17〜20%
1%
20％以上
<1%
14～17％ 98.0%
14％未満 1.5%
17〜20% <1%
20％以上 <1%
$75,264 Vol.
$75,264 Vol.
2026/09/20
14％未満
$30,266 Vol.
2%
14～17％
$27,655 Vol.
98%
17〜20%
$13,678 Vol.
1%
20％以上
$3,665 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, delivered a Grüne vote share of 14.3 percent in preliminary official results, placing the outcome squarely inside the 14-17 percent range. This result reflects a decline of roughly four points from the party's 18.4 percent in 2023, amid a broader shift that saw Die Linke surge to first place while the previous CDU-SPD governing coalition lost ground. Late-campaign polling had consistently shown the Greens in the mid-teens, with limited movement in the final weeks. Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts would need to exceed typical margins to exit the band. Late-breaking developments such as widespread recounts or successful legal challenges to specific precincts remain the primary, though narrow, pathways that could alter the precise share.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
音量
$75,264終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, delivered a Grüne vote share of 14.3 percent in preliminary official results, placing the outcome squarely inside the 14-17 percent range. This result reflects a decline of roughly four points from the party's 18.4 percent in 2023, amid a broader shift that saw Die Linke surge to first place while the previous CDU-SPD governing coalition lost ground. Late-campaign polling had consistently shown the Greens in the mid-teens, with limited movement in the final weeks. Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts would need to exceed typical margins to exit the band. Late-breaking developments such as widespread recounts or successful legal challenges to specific precincts remain the primary, though narrow, pathways that could alter the precise share.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
音量
$75,264終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, delivered a Grüne vote share of 14.3 percent in preliminary official results, placing the outcome squarely inside the 14-17 percent range. This result reflects a decline of roughly four points from the party's 18.4 percent in 2023, amid a broader shift that saw Die Linke surge to first place while the previous CDU-SPD governing coalition lost ground. Late-campaign polling had consistently shown the Greens in the mid-teens, with limited movement in the final weeks. Final certification or minor adjustments from remaining counts would need to exceed typical margins to exit the band. Late-breaking developments such as widespread recounts or successful legal challenges to specific precincts remain the primary, though narrow, pathways that could alter the precise share.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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