Mali leads the AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K market at 65% implied probability after opening with consecutive victories over Cape Verde and Liberia, establishing a six-point cushion alongside Rwanda. The Eagles' strong squad depth, recent call-ups including West Ham midfielder Mohamadou Kante, and favorable home leg in the November doubleheader against Rwanda position them as frontrunners in the eyes of traders. Rwanda sits level on points but trails slightly on goal difference following its own wins, while Cape Verde and Liberia remain winless and face steep recovery odds in the remaining fixtures. The closely contested nature of the top two spots, with two qualification berths available, keeps the market focused on these head-to-head results and current form.