Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations near Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the settlement itself despite repeated attempts along the Oskil River axis. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian efforts in the Borova and adjacent Kupyansk sectors, prompting Russian commanders to defer broader objectives such as seizing Kupyansk until 2027. Institute for the Study of War assessments show persistent Ukrainian control over key terrain, including areas where Russian claims of encirclement or capture proved unfounded. Traders price an 8 percent chance of Russian capture of the specified intersection by year-end 2026, reflecting the slow tempo of advances, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and competing Russian priorities elsewhere on the front.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
8% probabilità
$54,277 Vol.
$54,277 Vol.
31 dic 2026
8% probabilità
$54,277 Vol.
$54,277 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations near Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the settlement itself despite repeated attempts along the Oskil River axis. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian efforts in the Borova and adjacent Kupyansk sectors, prompting Russian commanders to defer broader objectives such as seizing Kupyansk until 2027. Institute for the Study of War assessments show persistent Ukrainian control over key terrain, including areas where Russian claims of encirclement or capture proved unfounded. Traders price an 8 percent chance of Russian capture of the specified intersection by year-end 2026, reflecting the slow tempo of advances, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and competing Russian priorities elsewhere on the front.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$54,277Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations near Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the settlement itself despite repeated attempts along the Oskil River axis. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian efforts in the Borova and adjacent Kupyansk sectors, prompting Russian commanders to defer broader objectives such as seizing Kupyansk until 2027. Institute for the Study of War assessments show persistent Ukrainian control over key terrain, including areas where Russian claims of encirclement or capture proved unfounded. Traders price an 8 percent chance of Russian capture of the specified intersection by year-end 2026, reflecting the slow tempo of advances, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and competing Russian priorities elsewhere on the front.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$54,277Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted only limited offensive operations near Borova in Kharkiv Oblast through September 2026, with no confirmed advances into the settlement itself despite repeated attempts along the Oskil River axis. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian efforts in the Borova and adjacent Kupyansk sectors, prompting Russian commanders to defer broader objectives such as seizing Kupyansk until 2027. Institute for the Study of War assessments show persistent Ukrainian control over key terrain, including areas where Russian claims of encirclement or capture proved unfounded. Traders price an 8 percent chance of Russian capture of the specified intersection by year-end 2026, reflecting the slow tempo of advances, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and competing Russian priorities elsewhere on the front.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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