Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and loyalty campaigns within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations for additional high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting senior military figures, including Central Military Commission members Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in January, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July, as well as multiple ministerial-level officials. These actions follow earlier purges that removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reflect efforts to address perceived disloyalty and corruption ahead of the 21st Party Congress. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October is expected to expel more than 40 Central Committee members, marking a key near-term catalyst for further personnel changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$210,666 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
7%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
3%
Wang Yi
1%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$210,666 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,541 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$29,757 Vol.
7%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,189 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,098 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,730 Vol.
1%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and loyalty campaigns within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations for additional high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting senior military figures, including Central Military Commission members Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in January, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July, as well as multiple ministerial-level officials. These actions follow earlier purges that removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reflect efforts to address perceived disloyalty and corruption ahead of the 21st Party Congress. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October is expected to expel more than 40 Central Committee members, marking a key near-term catalyst for further personnel changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$210,666Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and loyalty campaigns within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations for additional high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting senior military figures, including Central Military Commission members Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in January, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July, as well as multiple ministerial-level officials. These actions follow earlier purges that removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reflect efforts to address perceived disloyalty and corruption ahead of the 21st Party Congress. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October is expected to expel more than 40 Central Committee members, marking a key near-term catalyst for further personnel changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$210,666Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption and loyalty campaigns within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations for additional high-level removals in 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting senior military figures, including Central Military Commission members Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in January, alongside Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July, as well as multiple ministerial-level officials. These actions follow earlier purges that removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reflect efforts to address perceived disloyalty and corruption ahead of the 21st Party Congress. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October is expected to expel more than 40 Central Committee members, marking a key near-term catalyst for further personnel changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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