Recent developments following Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation have left the permanent nomination open, with Adam Telle serving only in an acting capacity after his elevation from assistant secretary for civil works. Sean Parnell holds the highest listed probability among named contenders due to strong internal support from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s circle and his Pentagon experience, yet Adam Telle, Michael Obadal, Brian Mast, and Marc Andersen remain competitive given their current roles and varying Senate confirmation prospects. The tight distribution across multiple candidates reflects the lack of a White House announcement, ongoing internal deliberations, and potential confirmation hurdles for several names. A formal nomination, Senate hearings, or additional endorsements could quickly consolidate trader consensus around one or two frontrunners.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSean Parnell 30%
Adam Telle 22%
Michael Obadal 8%
Brian Mast 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 gen 2029
Sean Parnell
30%
Adam Telle
22%
Michael Obadal
8%
Brian Mast
8%
Marc Andersen
7%
Charles Young III
5%
Brent Ingraham
5%
W. Jordan Gillis
4%
Sean Parnell 30%
Adam Telle 22%
Michael Obadal 8%
Brian Mast 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 gen 2029
Sean Parnell
$234 Vol.
30%
Adam Telle
$470 Vol.
22%
Michael Obadal
$71 Vol.
8%
Brian Mast
$192 Vol.
8%
Marc Andersen
$112 Vol.
7%
Charles Young III
$92 Vol.
5%
Brent Ingraham
$211 Vol.
5%
W. Jordan Gillis
$111 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments following Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation have left the permanent nomination open, with Adam Telle serving only in an acting capacity after his elevation from assistant secretary for civil works. Sean Parnell holds the highest listed probability among named contenders due to strong internal support from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s circle and his Pentagon experience, yet Adam Telle, Michael Obadal, Brian Mast, and Marc Andersen remain competitive given their current roles and varying Senate confirmation prospects. The tight distribution across multiple candidates reflects the lack of a White House announcement, ongoing internal deliberations, and potential confirmation hurdles for several names. A formal nomination, Senate hearings, or additional endorsements could quickly consolidate trader consensus around one or two frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,492Data di fine
19 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments following Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation have left the permanent nomination open, with Adam Telle serving only in an acting capacity after his elevation from assistant secretary for civil works. Sean Parnell holds the highest listed probability among named contenders due to strong internal support from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s circle and his Pentagon experience, yet Adam Telle, Michael Obadal, Brian Mast, and Marc Andersen remain competitive given their current roles and varying Senate confirmation prospects. The tight distribution across multiple candidates reflects the lack of a White House announcement, ongoing internal deliberations, and potential confirmation hurdles for several names. A formal nomination, Senate hearings, or additional endorsements could quickly consolidate trader consensus around one or two frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,492Data di fine
19 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments following Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation have left the permanent nomination open, with Adam Telle serving only in an acting capacity after his elevation from assistant secretary for civil works. Sean Parnell holds the highest listed probability among named contenders due to strong internal support from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s circle and his Pentagon experience, yet Adam Telle, Michael Obadal, Brian Mast, and Marc Andersen remain competitive given their current roles and varying Senate confirmation prospects. The tight distribution across multiple candidates reflects the lack of a White House announcement, ongoing internal deliberations, and potential confirmation hurdles for several names. A formal nomination, Senate hearings, or additional endorsements could quickly consolidate trader consensus around one or two frontrunners.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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