Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial race, backed by his record of repeated victories since 2016 and broad name recognition across the state. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed him ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits even with sizable undecided voters, while forecasts rate the contest as solidly Republican. Scott advanced unopposed in the August primary; Janoo narrowly won her party’s nomination over Aly Richards. Scott’s approval rating has softened from prior highs, yet his pragmatic governance and focus on legislative races reinforce trader consensus. Only major late-cycle developments such as health events, scandals, or sharp turnout shifts would likely alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Vermont
$75,717 Vol.
$75,717 Vol.

Phil Scott (R)
95%

Amanda Janoo (D)
6%
$75,717 Vol.
$75,717 Vol.

Phil Scott (R)
95%

Amanda Janoo (D)
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial race, backed by his record of repeated victories since 2016 and broad name recognition across the state. Recent University of New Hampshire polling showed him ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits even with sizable undecided voters, while forecasts rate the contest as solidly Republican. Scott advanced unopposed in the August primary; Janoo narrowly won her party’s nomination over Aly Richards. Scott’s approval rating has softened from prior highs, yet his pragmatic governance and focus on legislative races reinforce trader consensus. Only major late-cycle developments such as health events, scandals, or sharp turnout shifts would likely alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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