SpaceX has advanced Starship V3 hardware with integrated docking ports and quick-disconnect systems to support orbital propellant transfer, but as of early September 2026 no two ships have yet rendezvoused or docked. Flight 13’s July success with an intact splashdown and in-space Raptor relight cleared the path for Flight 14’s targeted mid-September orbital attempt, which prioritizes attitude control, deorbit burns, and a potential tower catch over multi-vehicle operations. The first dedicated tanker-and-depot demonstration—requiring precise relative navigation, soft capture, and methane/LOX transfer—remains slated for later in 2026 under NASA HLS milestones, though timelines have slipped repeatedly from 2025 targets. Regulatory approval, vehicle reuse cadence, and demonstrated orbital stability will determine when the initial docking occurs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
$70,030 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre 2026
4%
31 dicembre 2027
52%
$70,030 Vol.
31 dicembre 2026
$46,171 Vol.
4%
31 dicembre 2027
$23,859 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX has advanced Starship V3 hardware with integrated docking ports and quick-disconnect systems to support orbital propellant transfer, but as of early September 2026 no two ships have yet rendezvoused or docked. Flight 13’s July success with an intact splashdown and in-space Raptor relight cleared the path for Flight 14’s targeted mid-September orbital attempt, which prioritizes attitude control, deorbit burns, and a potential tower catch over multi-vehicle operations. The first dedicated tanker-and-depot demonstration—requiring precise relative navigation, soft capture, and methane/LOX transfer—remains slated for later in 2026 under NASA HLS milestones, though timelines have slipped repeatedly from 2025 targets. Regulatory approval, vehicle reuse cadence, and demonstrated orbital stability will determine when the initial docking occurs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$70,030Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX has advanced Starship V3 hardware with integrated docking ports and quick-disconnect systems to support orbital propellant transfer, but as of early September 2026 no two ships have yet rendezvoused or docked. Flight 13’s July success with an intact splashdown and in-space Raptor relight cleared the path for Flight 14’s targeted mid-September orbital attempt, which prioritizes attitude control, deorbit burns, and a potential tower catch over multi-vehicle operations. The first dedicated tanker-and-depot demonstration—requiring precise relative navigation, soft capture, and methane/LOX transfer—remains slated for later in 2026 under NASA HLS milestones, though timelines have slipped repeatedly from 2025 targets. Regulatory approval, vehicle reuse cadence, and demonstrated orbital stability will determine when the initial docking occurs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$70,030Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...SpaceX has advanced Starship V3 hardware with integrated docking ports and quick-disconnect systems to support orbital propellant transfer, but as of early September 2026 no two ships have yet rendezvoused or docked. Flight 13’s July success with an intact splashdown and in-space Raptor relight cleared the path for Flight 14’s targeted mid-September orbital attempt, which prioritizes attitude control, deorbit burns, and a potential tower catch over multi-vehicle operations. The first dedicated tanker-and-depot demonstration—requiring precise relative navigation, soft capture, and methane/LOX transfer—remains slated for later in 2026 under NASA HLS milestones, though timelines have slipped repeatedly from 2025 targets. Regulatory approval, vehicle reuse cadence, and demonstrated orbital stability will determine when the initial docking occurs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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