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icon for Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?

Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?

icon for Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?

Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?

dic 31

dic 31

$341,390 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$341,390 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$203 Vol.

3%

↑ 9.300 $

$9,564 Vol.

4%

↑ $9,000

$78 Vol.

5%

↑ $8.600

$30,614 Vol.

9%

↑ $8.200

$23,827 Vol.

27%

↑ $8,000

$559 Vol.

47%

↓ $7,400

$0 Vol.

73%

↓ $7,200

$5 Vol.

52%

↓ $7,000

$343 Vol.

27%

↓ $6.200

$53,694 Vol.

10%

↓ $6,000

$2,970 Vol.

11%

↓ $5.800

$41,870 Vol.

9%

↓ $5.200

$57,241 Vol.

6%

↓ $4.500

$60,371 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, amid strong year-to-date gains of roughly 12% fueled by robust corporate earnings. Technology and AI-related capital spending have driven outsized profit growth, with second-quarter beats exceeding 85% of expectations and analysts lifting full-year EPS forecasts toward $360–$375. Major banks including Barclays and HSBC have raised year-end 2026 targets to the 7,950–8,100 range on this momentum. Near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation and recent hot jobs data have markets pricing a possible rate hike from the current 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, alongside August CPI and PPI releases this week. Elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions add downside pressure, while upcoming Q3 earnings and retail sales data will test whether earnings momentum can offset policy and macro risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$341,390
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, amid strong year-to-date gains of roughly 12% fueled by robust corporate earnings. Technology and AI-related capital spending have driven outsized profit growth, with second-quarter beats exceeding 85% of expectations and analysts lifting full-year EPS forecasts toward $360–$375. Major banks including Barclays and HSBC have raised year-end 2026 targets to the 7,950–8,100 range on this momentum. Near-term catalysts include the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation and recent hot jobs data have markets pricing a possible rate hike from the current 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, alongside August CPI and PPI releases this week. Elevated oil prices above $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions add downside pressure, while upcoming Q3 earnings and retail sales data will test whether earnings momentum can offset policy and macro risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$341,390
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

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Domande frequenti

"Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 19 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "↑ $7.800" a 100%, seguito da "↑ 7.600$" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?" ha generato $341.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?", esplora i 19 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?" è "↑ $7.800" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "↑ 7.600$" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Cosa raggiungerà l'S&P 500 (SPX) entro la fine di dicembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.