Recent polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding into clear second place behind new leader Christine Fréchette. The CAQ has gained support among francophone voters outside Montreal, narrowing gaps in key ridings and positioning it ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has lost ground since spring. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ indicate the CAQ remains competitive in dozens of close contests with the PQ, supporting trader consensus on its second-place prospects while the Liberals and other parties trail in implied probabilities. Ongoing campaign events, including recent debates, have not shifted these patterns significantly in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCAQ 63%
PLQ 19%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,923 Vol.
$16,923 Vol.
4 ott 2026
CAQ
63%
PLQ
19%
PQ
16%
PVQ
1%
QS
1%
PCQ
1%
CAQ 63%
PLQ 19%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,923 Vol.
$16,923 Vol.
4 ott 2026
CAQ
$4,538 Vol.
63%
PLQ
$4,667 Vol.
19%
PQ
$4,111 Vol.
16%
PVQ
$1,226 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Vol.
1%
PCQ
$884 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding into clear second place behind new leader Christine Fréchette. The CAQ has gained support among francophone voters outside Montreal, narrowing gaps in key ridings and positioning it ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has lost ground since spring. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ indicate the CAQ remains competitive in dozens of close contests with the PQ, supporting trader consensus on its second-place prospects while the Liberals and other parties trail in implied probabilities. Ongoing campaign events, including recent debates, have not shifted these patterns significantly in the past week.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,923Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding into clear second place behind new leader Christine Fréchette. The CAQ has gained support among francophone voters outside Montreal, narrowing gaps in key ridings and positioning it ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has lost ground since spring. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ indicate the CAQ remains competitive in dozens of close contests with the PQ, supporting trader consensus on its second-place prospects while the Liberals and other parties trail in implied probabilities. Ongoing campaign events, including recent debates, have not shifted these patterns significantly in the past week.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$16,923Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding into clear second place behind new leader Christine Fréchette. The CAQ has gained support among francophone voters outside Montreal, narrowing gaps in key ridings and positioning it ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has lost ground since spring. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ indicate the CAQ remains competitive in dozens of close contests with the PQ, supporting trader consensus on its second-place prospects while the Liberals and other parties trail in implied probabilities. Ongoing campaign events, including recent debates, have not shifted these patterns significantly in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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