**The US trade embargo, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba during 2026.** Cuban authorities signaled openness to foreign franchises in June through Prime Minister Manuel Marrero’s economic reform package and followed up with Decree 167 in August, which authorizes “light food service networks of recognized brands.” President Miguel Díaz-Canel conditioned any entry on equal treatment for domestic actors but offered no specific commitments or confirmed negotiations with US chains. No statements or filings from McDonald’s indicate interest or planning, and corporate risk assessments continue to cite sanctions, payment restrictions, and economic instability as prohibitive. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement before year-end is highly unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The US trade embargo, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba during 2026.** Cuban authorities signaled openness to foreign franchises in June through Prime Minister Manuel Marrero’s economic reform package and followed up with Decree 167 in August, which authorizes “light food service networks of recognized brands.” President Miguel Díaz-Canel conditioned any entry on equal treatment for domestic actors but offered no specific commitments or confirmed negotiations with US chains.
No statements or filings from McDonald’s indicate interest or planning, and corporate risk assessments continue to cite sanctions, payment restrictions, and economic instability as prohibitive. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement before year-end is highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,719Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The US trade embargo, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba during 2026.** Cuban authorities signaled openness to foreign franchises in June through Prime Minister Manuel Marrero’s economic reform package and followed up with Decree 167 in August, which authorizes “light food service networks of recognized brands.” President Miguel Díaz-Canel conditioned any entry on equal treatment for domestic actors but offered no specific commitments or confirmed negotiations with US chains.
No statements or filings from McDonald’s indicate interest or planning, and corporate risk assessments continue to cite sanctions, payment restrictions, and economic instability as prohibitive. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement before year-end is highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,719Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**The US trade embargo, reinforced by a May 2026 executive order expanding sanctions, remains the dominant barrier preventing any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba during 2026.** Cuban authorities signaled openness to foreign franchises in June through Prime Minister Manuel Marrero’s economic reform package and followed up with Decree 167 in August, which authorizes “light food service networks of recognized brands.” President Miguel Díaz-Canel conditioned any entry on equal treatment for domestic actors but offered no specific commitments or confirmed negotiations with US chains. No statements or filings from McDonald’s indicate interest or planning, and corporate risk assessments continue to cite sanctions, payment restrictions, and economic instability as prohibitive. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement before year-end is highly unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti