**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato73% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
73% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.europeantour.com/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.europeantour.com/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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