**Chapecoense sits at the foot of the 2026 Brasileirão table on 17 points after 25 matches, with a massive goal difference deficit and limited realistic escape routes in the remaining dozen rounds.** Remo (23 points) and the tied pair of Internacional and Vasco da Gama (both on 25) occupy the other relegation spots, while Mirassol and Grêmio hover just above on 28. Recent results have entrenched the bottom side’s position, including Chapecoense’s narrow win over Corinthians and losses for Vasco and Internacional that widened the gap to safety. The four promoted sides from 2025 Série B—Coritiba, Athletico Paranaense, Chapecoense, and Remo—have shown uneven adaptation, with the latter two particularly exposed. Traders’ implied probabilities reflect the current points gap and remaining fixture difficulty, with the bottom four viewed as the primary candidates for descent to Série B.