Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports targeting mid-October marketing with a potential November listing at up to $2 trillion, drive the 96.4% market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s revenue trajectory, large-scale funding, and underwriting support from major banks have positioned it for a late-2026 debut, while OpenAI’s own confidential filing has been followed by internal signals favoring a 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and market caution. Traders assign low probability to reversal because OpenAI’s leadership has prioritized private flexibility and infrastructure commitments over an immediate listing. Still, shifts could occur if Anthropic encounters regulatory delays, credit facility complications, or adverse market conditions that push its schedule into 2027, or if OpenAI accelerates its process on improved sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic
96% peluang
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
96% peluang
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports targeting mid-October marketing with a potential November listing at up to $2 trillion, drive the 96.4% market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s revenue trajectory, large-scale funding, and underwriting support from major banks have positioned it for a late-2026 debut, while OpenAI’s own confidential filing has been followed by internal signals favoring a 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and market caution. Traders assign low probability to reversal because OpenAI’s leadership has prioritized private flexibility and infrastructure commitments over an immediate listing. Still, shifts could occur if Anthropic encounters regulatory delays, credit facility complications, or adverse market conditions that push its schedule into 2027, or if OpenAI accelerates its process on improved sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$338,517Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports targeting mid-October marketing with a potential November listing at up to $2 trillion, drive the 96.4% market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s revenue trajectory, large-scale funding, and underwriting support from major banks have positioned it for a late-2026 debut, while OpenAI’s own confidential filing has been followed by internal signals favoring a 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and market caution. Traders assign low probability to reversal because OpenAI’s leadership has prioritized private flexibility and infrastructure commitments over an immediate listing. Still, shifts could occur if Anthropic encounters regulatory delays, credit facility complications, or adverse market conditions that push its schedule into 2027, or if OpenAI accelerates its process on improved sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$338,517Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s accelerated IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports targeting mid-October marketing with a potential November listing at up to $2 trillion, drive the 96.4% market-implied odds that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s revenue trajectory, large-scale funding, and underwriting support from major banks have positioned it for a late-2026 debut, while OpenAI’s own confidential filing has been followed by internal signals favoring a 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and market caution. Traders assign low probability to reversal because OpenAI’s leadership has prioritized private flexibility and infrastructure commitments over an immediate listing. Still, shifts could occur if Anthropic encounters regulatory delays, credit facility complications, or adverse market conditions that push its schedule into 2027, or if OpenAI accelerates its process on improved sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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