Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVirginia Senate Election Winner
Virginia Senate Election Winner
$23,148 Vol.
$23,148 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
5%
$23,148 Vol.
$23,148 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
$15,894 Vol.
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
$7,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$23,148Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,148Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan