Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democrat. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite a modest 2024 margin. Horsford advanced unopposed in the June primary while Cody Whipple consolidated Republican support after defeating two rivals, yet Horsford maintains a substantial fundraising lead that supports stronger campaign infrastructure heading into November. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s fundamentals and limited polling signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national Republican surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Steven Horsford (D)
93%
Cody Whipple (R)
5%
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Steven Horsford (D)
$5,445 Vol.
93%
Cody Whipple (R)
$5,305 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democrat. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite a modest 2024 margin. Horsford advanced unopposed in the June primary while Cody Whipple consolidated Republican support after defeating two rivals, yet Horsford maintains a substantial fundraising lead that supports stronger campaign infrastructure heading into November. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s fundamentals and limited polling signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national Republican surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$10,750Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democrat. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite a modest 2024 margin. Horsford advanced unopposed in the June primary while Cody Whipple consolidated Republican support after defeating two rivals, yet Horsford maintains a substantial fundraising lead that supports stronger campaign infrastructure heading into November. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s fundamentals and limited polling signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national Republican surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,750Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Steven Horsford’s incumbency in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democrat. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles despite a modest 2024 margin. Horsford advanced unopposed in the June primary while Cody Whipple consolidated Republican support after defeating two rivals, yet Horsford maintains a substantial fundraising lead that supports stronger campaign infrastructure heading into November. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s fundamentals and limited polling signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national Republican surge could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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