The tight federal court calendar in the Eastern District of North Carolina drives the 97.5% trader consensus against a 2026 sentencing. Comey faces two threat-related counts from an April 2026 indictment tied to a 2025 social media post, with arraignment set for late September and trial scheduled for October 21. Standard pretrial motions, potential dismissal rulings on constitutional or selective-prosecution grounds, conviction, presentencing reports, and sentencing hearings rarely conclude within the remaining weeks of the year. Parallel Virginia charges dismissed in 2025 face an appeals process showing judicial skepticism as of mid-September, further reducing the chance of any resolution or sentencing before December 31. While expedited proceedings or unexpected plea developments remain possible, historical patterns in comparable cases support the market's assessment of negligible probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
$159,309 Vol.
$159,309 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$159,309 Vol.
$159,309 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight federal court calendar in the Eastern District of North Carolina drives the 97.5% trader consensus against a 2026 sentencing. Comey faces two threat-related counts from an April 2026 indictment tied to a 2025 social media post, with arraignment set for late September and trial scheduled for October 21. Standard pretrial motions, potential dismissal rulings on constitutional or selective-prosecution grounds, conviction, presentencing reports, and sentencing hearings rarely conclude within the remaining weeks of the year. Parallel Virginia charges dismissed in 2025 face an appeals process showing judicial skepticism as of mid-September, further reducing the chance of any resolution or sentencing before December 31. While expedited proceedings or unexpected plea developments remain possible, historical patterns in comparable cases support the market's assessment of negligible probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$159,309Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight federal court calendar in the Eastern District of North Carolina drives the 97.5% trader consensus against a 2026 sentencing. Comey faces two threat-related counts from an April 2026 indictment tied to a 2025 social media post, with arraignment set for late September and trial scheduled for October 21. Standard pretrial motions, potential dismissal rulings on constitutional or selective-prosecution grounds, conviction, presentencing reports, and sentencing hearings rarely conclude within the remaining weeks of the year. Parallel Virginia charges dismissed in 2025 face an appeals process showing judicial skepticism as of mid-September, further reducing the chance of any resolution or sentencing before December 31. While expedited proceedings or unexpected plea developments remain possible, historical patterns in comparable cases support the market's assessment of negligible probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$159,309Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The tight federal court calendar in the Eastern District of North Carolina drives the 97.5% trader consensus against a 2026 sentencing. Comey faces two threat-related counts from an April 2026 indictment tied to a 2025 social media post, with arraignment set for late September and trial scheduled for October 21. Standard pretrial motions, potential dismissal rulings on constitutional or selective-prosecution grounds, conviction, presentencing reports, and sentencing hearings rarely conclude within the remaining weeks of the year. Parallel Virginia charges dismissed in 2025 face an appeals process showing judicial skepticism as of mid-September, further reducing the chance of any resolution or sentencing before December 31. While expedited proceedings or unexpected plea developments remain possible, historical patterns in comparable cases support the market's assessment of negligible probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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