**Trader consensus around an $8–9 million opening weekend for Angel Studios’ Drummer Boy reflects its solid $3.53 million Friday gross from 2,850 theaters and strong early audience signals.** The faith-based Revolutionary War musical earned an “A” CinemaScore and reports of widespread sell-outs, supporting momentum toward the upper end of pre-release ranges despite varied forecasts. Mixed but receptive reviews for its target Christian audience, combined with the distributor’s track record on similar titles, have outweighed broader competition from Godzilla Minus Zero. With word-of-mouth and holiday-adjacent timing as key swing factors, market-implied odds heavily favor an 8–9 million or stronger debut over lower brackets.