Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place among the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with each party hovering between 15% and 22% in late surveys. This narrow spread among multiple contenders creates substantial uncertainty over final rankings, supporting the market's view of CDU as the leading candidate for second place followed by AfD and Linke. The SPD's weaker position and recent developments around its lead candidate add further volatility, while the AfD's steady gains reflect broader trends but remain constrained by coalition barriers. Late shifts in turnout or voter preferences among these closely matched parties could reorder the outcome before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCDU 37%
AfD 29%
Linke 23%
Grüne 10%
$27,291 Vol.
$27,291 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
29%
Linke
23%
Grüne
10%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 29%
Linke 23%
Grüne 10%
$27,291 Vol.
$27,291 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,384 Vol.
37%
AfD
$6,705 Vol.
29%
Linke
$5,964 Vol.
23%
Grüne
$5,603 Vol.
10%
SPD
$3,526 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place among the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with each party hovering between 15% and 22% in late surveys. This narrow spread among multiple contenders creates substantial uncertainty over final rankings, supporting the market's view of CDU as the leading candidate for second place followed by AfD and Linke. The SPD's weaker position and recent developments around its lead candidate add further volatility, while the AfD's steady gains reflect broader trends but remain constrained by coalition barriers. Late shifts in turnout or voter preferences among these closely matched parties could reorder the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$27,291Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place among the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with each party hovering between 15% and 22% in late surveys. This narrow spread among multiple contenders creates substantial uncertainty over final rankings, supporting the market's view of CDU as the leading candidate for second place followed by AfD and Linke. The SPD's weaker position and recent developments around its lead candidate add further volatility, while the AfD's steady gains reflect broader trends but remain constrained by coalition barriers. Late shifts in turnout or voter preferences among these closely matched parties could reorder the outcome before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$27,291Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place among the CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with each party hovering between 15% and 22% in late surveys. This narrow spread among multiple contenders creates substantial uncertainty over final rankings, supporting the market's view of CDU as the leading candidate for second place followed by AfD and Linke. The SPD's weaker position and recent developments around its lead candidate add further volatility, while the AfD's steady gains reflect broader trends but remain constrained by coalition barriers. Late shifts in turnout or voter preferences among these closely matched parties could reorder the outcome before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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