Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOmar Aziz 54%
Professora Maria do Carmo 30%
Roberto Cidade 15.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,527 Vol.
$25,527 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
54%
Professora Maria do Carmo
30%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 54%
Professora Maria do Carmo 30%
Roberto Cidade 15.9%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,527 Vol.
$25,527 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$8,877 Vol.
54%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$5,391 Vol.
30%
Roberto Cidade
$4,178 Vol.
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,851 Vol.
1%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
David Almeida
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$1,776 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$25,527Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,527Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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