OpenAI’s reported early-stage exploration of a biometric “humans-only” social network remains far from a confirmed 2026 launch, supporting the 89% market-implied probability of “No.” Internal prototypes tied to image generation surfaced in 2025, followed by the short-lived Sora app social feed that was discontinued by March 2026 over moderation issues. The biometric project, described in January 2026 reports as a small team effort considering World Orb or Face ID verification, lacks any public timeline, product details, or resource commitment. With OpenAI prioritizing large language model releases, ChatGPT superapp features, an anticipated IPO, and DevDay announcements, traders see insufficient bandwidth or momentum for a full standalone platform rollout by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
11% संभावना
$77,889 वॉल्यूम
$77,889 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
11% संभावना
$77,889 वॉल्यूम
$77,889 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s reported early-stage exploration of a biometric “humans-only” social network remains far from a confirmed 2026 launch, supporting the 89% market-implied probability of “No.” Internal prototypes tied to image generation surfaced in 2025, followed by the short-lived Sora app social feed that was discontinued by March 2026 over moderation issues. The biometric project, described in January 2026 reports as a small team effort considering World Orb or Face ID verification, lacks any public timeline, product details, or resource commitment. With OpenAI prioritizing large language model releases, ChatGPT superapp features, an anticipated IPO, and DevDay announcements, traders see insufficient bandwidth or momentum for a full standalone platform rollout by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$77,889समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s reported early-stage exploration of a biometric “humans-only” social network remains far from a confirmed 2026 launch, supporting the 89% market-implied probability of “No.” Internal prototypes tied to image generation surfaced in 2025, followed by the short-lived Sora app social feed that was discontinued by March 2026 over moderation issues. The biometric project, described in January 2026 reports as a small team effort considering World Orb or Face ID verification, lacks any public timeline, product details, or resource commitment. With OpenAI prioritizing large language model releases, ChatGPT superapp features, an anticipated IPO, and DevDay announcements, traders see insufficient bandwidth or momentum for a full standalone platform rollout by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$77,889समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s reported early-stage exploration of a biometric “humans-only” social network remains far from a confirmed 2026 launch, supporting the 89% market-implied probability of “No.” Internal prototypes tied to image generation surfaced in 2025, followed by the short-lived Sora app social feed that was discontinued by March 2026 over moderation issues. The biometric project, described in January 2026 reports as a small team effort considering World Orb or Face ID verification, lacks any public timeline, product details, or resource commitment. With OpenAI prioritizing large language model releases, ChatGPT superapp features, an anticipated IPO, and DevDay announcements, traders see insufficient bandwidth or momentum for a full standalone platform rollout by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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