Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party-preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the November 28 election, supporting trader consensus at 71% for a Coalition victory. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll produced only marginal primary-vote gains for Labor and left preferred-premier gaps largely unchanged, with Jess Wilson ahead. One Nation’s elevated primary support near 23–25% fragments the vote and raises the possibility of crossbench influence, yet current preference-flow patterns and seat models continue to favor the Coalition forming government. Minor-party outcomes remain low-probability given structural barriers to a majority.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविक्टोरिया संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
विक्टोरिया संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
Liberal–National 71%
Labor 22%
One Nation 9.6%
Greens <1%
$14,681 वॉल्यूम
$14,681 वॉल्यूम
28 नव, 2026
Liberal–National
71%
Labor
22%
One Nation
10%
Greens
<1%
Liberal–National 71%
Labor 22%
One Nation 9.6%
Greens <1%
$14,681 वॉल्यूम
$14,681 वॉल्यूम
28 नव, 2026
Liberal–National
$6,984 वॉल्यूम
71%
Labor
$3,487 वॉल्यूम
22%
One Nation
$3,600 वॉल्यूम
10%
Greens
$611 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party-preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the November 28 election, supporting trader consensus at 71% for a Coalition victory. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll produced only marginal primary-vote gains for Labor and left preferred-premier gaps largely unchanged, with Jess Wilson ahead. One Nation’s elevated primary support near 23–25% fragments the vote and raises the possibility of crossbench influence, yet current preference-flow patterns and seat models continue to favor the Coalition forming government. Minor-party outcomes remain low-probability given structural barriers to a majority.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,681समाप्ति तिथि
28 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party-preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the November 28 election, supporting trader consensus at 71% for a Coalition victory. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll produced only marginal primary-vote gains for Labor and left preferred-premier gaps largely unchanged, with Jess Wilson ahead. One Nation’s elevated primary support near 23–25% fragments the vote and raises the possibility of crossbench influence, yet current preference-flow patterns and seat models continue to favor the Coalition forming government. Minor-party outcomes remain low-probability given structural barriers to a majority.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,681समाप्ति तिथि
28 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party-preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the November 28 election, supporting trader consensus at 71% for a Coalition victory. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll produced only marginal primary-vote gains for Labor and left preferred-premier gaps largely unchanged, with Jess Wilson ahead. One Nation’s elevated primary support near 23–25% fragments the vote and raises the possibility of crossbench influence, yet current preference-flow patterns and seat models continue to favor the Coalition forming government. Minor-party outcomes remain low-probability given structural barriers to a majority.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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