Oregon's all-mail voting system and roughly 3 million registered voters underpin trader focus on total ballots cast in the November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. The tight spread across the 1.5M–1.8M range mirrors historical midterm participation rates near 62 percent of eligible voters, tempered by the race's solid Democratic outlook and limited national salience. Record May primary turnout above 1.28 million ballots signals sustained engagement potential, yet lower enthusiasm in non-competitive contests and variable mail-return rates keep probabilities balanced. Shifts could arise from late campaign mobilization, broader midterm dynamics, or registration changes ahead of certification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाओरेगन सीनेट चुनाव: मतदान
ओरेगन सीनेट चुनाव: मतदान
1.5M-1.6M 17.5%
1.7M-1.8M 14%
2.1M-2.2M 14%
2.2M+ 13%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<1.5M
25%
1.5M-1.6M
18%
1.6M-1.7M
6%
1.7M-1.8M
18%
1.8M-1.9M
7%
1.9M-2M
8%
2M-2.1M
16%
2.1M-2.2M
14%
2.2M+
13%
1.5M-1.6M 17.5%
1.7M-1.8M 14%
2.1M-2.2M 14%
2.2M+ 13%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<1.5M
$153 वॉल्यूम
25%
1.5M-1.6M
$102 वॉल्यूम
18%
1.6M-1.7M
$70 वॉल्यूम
6%
1.7M-1.8M
$138 वॉल्यूम
18%
1.8M-1.9M
$57 वॉल्यूम
7%
1.9M-2M
$60 वॉल्यूम
8%
2M-2.1M
$205 वॉल्यूम
16%
2.1M-2.2M
$53 वॉल्यूम
14%
2.2M+
$91 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oregon's all-mail voting system and roughly 3 million registered voters underpin trader focus on total ballots cast in the November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. The tight spread across the 1.5M–1.8M range mirrors historical midterm participation rates near 62 percent of eligible voters, tempered by the race's solid Democratic outlook and limited national salience. Record May primary turnout above 1.28 million ballots signals sustained engagement potential, yet lower enthusiasm in non-competitive contests and variable mail-return rates keep probabilities balanced. Shifts could arise from late campaign mobilization, broader midterm dynamics, or registration changes ahead of certification.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$929समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oregon's all-mail voting system and roughly 3 million registered voters underpin trader focus on total ballots cast in the November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. The tight spread across the 1.5M–1.8M range mirrors historical midterm participation rates near 62 percent of eligible voters, tempered by the race's solid Democratic outlook and limited national salience. Record May primary turnout above 1.28 million ballots signals sustained engagement potential, yet lower enthusiasm in non-competitive contests and variable mail-return rates keep probabilities balanced. Shifts could arise from late campaign mobilization, broader midterm dynamics, or registration changes ahead of certification.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$929समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Oregon's all-mail voting system and roughly 3 million registered voters underpin trader focus on total ballots cast in the November 3 general election for the U.S. Senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. The tight spread across the 1.5M–1.8M range mirrors historical midterm participation rates near 62 percent of eligible voters, tempered by the race's solid Democratic outlook and limited national salience. Record May primary turnout above 1.28 million ballots signals sustained engagement potential, yet lower enthusiasm in non-competitive contests and variable mail-return rates keep probabilities balanced. Shifts could arise from late campaign mobilization, broader midterm dynamics, or registration changes ahead of certification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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