Virginia’s Democratic-led legislature passed a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting aimed at shifting the state’s 11 House districts. Voters narrowly approved the referendum in April, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the measure in May on procedural grounds tied to the amendment’s placement on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene later that month. With primaries already conducted and ballots finalized under the existing post-2020 lines, traders assign overwhelming probability to the original map remaining in place for the November midterms. A viable legislative workaround or successful late appeal before Election Day represents the narrowest remaining pathways that could still alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
3% संभावना
$70,332 वॉल्यूम
$70,332 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
हाँ
3% संभावना
$70,332 वॉल्यूम
$70,332 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s Democratic-led legislature passed a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting aimed at shifting the state’s 11 House districts. Voters narrowly approved the referendum in April, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the measure in May on procedural grounds tied to the amendment’s placement on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene later that month. With primaries already conducted and ballots finalized under the existing post-2020 lines, traders assign overwhelming probability to the original map remaining in place for the November midterms. A viable legislative workaround or successful late appeal before Election Day represents the narrowest remaining pathways that could still alter the outcome.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$70,332समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s Democratic-led legislature passed a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting aimed at shifting the state’s 11 House districts. Voters narrowly approved the referendum in April, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the measure in May on procedural grounds tied to the amendment’s placement on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene later that month. With primaries already conducted and ballots finalized under the existing post-2020 lines, traders assign overwhelming probability to the original map remaining in place for the November midterms. A viable legislative workaround or successful late appeal before Election Day represents the narrowest remaining pathways that could still alter the outcome.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$70,332समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s Democratic-led legislature passed a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting aimed at shifting the state’s 11 House districts. Voters narrowly approved the referendum in April, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the measure in May on procedural grounds tied to the amendment’s placement on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to intervene later that month. With primaries already conducted and ballots finalized under the existing post-2020 lines, traders assign overwhelming probability to the original map remaining in place for the November midterms. A viable legislative workaround or successful late appeal before Election Day represents the narrowest remaining pathways that could still alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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