The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a separate closed primary rather than join the United Left contest removed a key participant and eroded momentum for the October 11 event, which was launched in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier of Les Écologistes, François Ruffin of Debout!, and Clémentine Autain of L'Après. Non-participation by La France Insoumise and the Communist Party further narrowed the field to smaller movements, prompting candidate withdrawals and raising the prospect of formal cancellation under market rules. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these coalition fractures and the absence of broader left-wing alignment. Late reversals by remaining organizers or unexpected endorsements could still shift outcomes before the scheduled date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारद्द 92.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 वॉल्यूम
$223,406 वॉल्यूम
10 अक्टू, 2026
रद्द
92%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
बेंजामिन लुकास-लुंडी
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
रद्द 92.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 वॉल्यूम
$223,406 वॉल्यूम
10 अक्टू, 2026
रद्द
$87,693 वॉल्यूम
92%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 वॉल्यूम
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 वॉल्यूम
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 वॉल्यूम
1%
बेंजामिन लुकास-लुंडी
$4,216 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a separate closed primary rather than join the United Left contest removed a key participant and eroded momentum for the October 11 event, which was launched in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier of Les Écologistes, François Ruffin of Debout!, and Clémentine Autain of L'Après. Non-participation by La France Insoumise and the Communist Party further narrowed the field to smaller movements, prompting candidate withdrawals and raising the prospect of formal cancellation under market rules. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these coalition fractures and the absence of broader left-wing alignment. Late reversals by remaining organizers or unexpected endorsements could still shift outcomes before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$223,406समाप्ति तिथि
11 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a separate closed primary rather than join the United Left contest removed a key participant and eroded momentum for the October 11 event, which was launched in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier of Les Écologistes, François Ruffin of Debout!, and Clémentine Autain of L'Après. Non-participation by La France Insoumise and the Communist Party further narrowed the field to smaller movements, prompting candidate withdrawals and raising the prospect of formal cancellation under market rules. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these coalition fractures and the absence of broader left-wing alignment. Late reversals by remaining organizers or unexpected endorsements could still shift outcomes before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$223,406समाप्ति तिथि
11 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a separate closed primary rather than join the United Left contest removed a key participant and eroded momentum for the October 11 event, which was launched in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier of Les Écologistes, François Ruffin of Debout!, and Clémentine Autain of L'Après. Non-participation by La France Insoumise and the Communist Party further narrowed the field to smaller movements, prompting candidate withdrawals and raising the prospect of formal cancellation under market rules. Trader consensus on cancellation reflects these coalition fractures and the absence of broader left-wing alignment. Late reversals by remaining organizers or unexpected endorsements could still shift outcomes before the scheduled date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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