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icon for Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan
Politique·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan
Politique·Taïwan

Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan

Lin Kuo-chang 63%

Wu Tsung-hsien 24%

Chen Wan-hui 4.2%

Chang Sheng-te 1.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lin Kuo-chang 63%

Wu Tsung-hsien 24%

Chen Wan-hui 4.2%

Chang Sheng-te 1.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Lin Kuo-chang

Lin Kuo-chang

$2,796 Vol.

68%

icon for Wu Tsung-hsien

Wu Tsung-hsien

$3,340 Vol.

24%

icon for Chen Wan-hui

Chen Wan-hui

$396 Vol.

4%

icon for Chang Sheng-te

Chang Sheng-te

$264 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang holds the leading position in the Yilan County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, benefiting from unified party backing, established local legal practice, and volunteer roles in county government. Wu Tsung-hsien trails as the Kuomintang candidate after prevailing in an internal poll over Zhang Sheng-de, with support consolidated through a KMT-TPP alignment. Chen Wan-hui of the Taiwan People's Party and several independents register lower shares amid fragmented opposition votes. Recent candidate registration closed with five contenders, while opposition scrutiny of Lin's state enterprise board roles and local DPP factional tensions have surfaced without shifting core positioning ahead of the November 28 vote. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and limited late momentum for challengers.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,797
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang holds the leading position in the Yilan County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, benefiting from unified party backing, established local legal practice, and volunteer roles in county government. Wu Tsung-hsien trails as the Kuomintang candidate after prevailing in an internal poll over Zhang Sheng-de, with support consolidated through a KMT-TPP alignment. Chen Wan-hui of the Taiwan People's Party and several independents register lower shares amid fragmented opposition votes. Recent candidate registration closed with five contenders, while opposition scrutiny of Lin's state enterprise board roles and local DPP factional tensions have surfaced without shifting core positioning ahead of the November 28 vote. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and limited late momentum for challengers.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,797
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lin Kuo-chang » à 68%, suivi de « Wu Tsung-hsien » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan » est « Lin Kuo-chang » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Wu Tsung-hsien » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Yilan » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.