**Trump’s public openness to engaging Mojtaba Khamenei has been offset by consistent Iranian rejection of direct leader-to-leader contact.** Following the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes that killed Ali Khamenei and reportedly wounded his son, Mojtaba assumed the supreme leader role amid protracted ceasefire talks. Trump stated in June he would “like to meet” or speak with Mojtaba if it advanced a deal, describing the sides as “getting along quite well,” while Iranian advisers and officials repeatedly declared any such meeting “will not happen” and demanded concessions like asset releases first. A June memorandum of understanding established a negotiation framework, yet communications have remained indirect. As of late August, Trump assessed Mojtaba as alive but seriously injured and noted the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps holds significant influence. With no confirmed direct verbal interaction and Iranian leadership emphasizing mediated channels through December 2026, trader consensus reflects low implied probability absent a major diplomatic shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump parlera-t-il à Mojtaba Khamenei d'ici... ?
$626,141 Vol.
31 décembre
4%
$626,141 Vol.
31 décembre
4%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...**Trump’s public openness to engaging Mojtaba Khamenei has been offset by consistent Iranian rejection of direct leader-to-leader contact.** Following the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes that killed Ali Khamenei and reportedly wounded his son, Mojtaba assumed the supreme leader role amid protracted ceasefire talks. Trump stated in June he would “like to meet” or speak with Mojtaba if it advanced a deal, describing the sides as “getting along quite well,” while Iranian advisers and officials repeatedly declared any such meeting “will not happen” and demanded concessions like asset releases first. A June memorandum of understanding established a negotiation framework, yet communications have remained indirect. As of late August, Trump assessed Mojtaba as alive but seriously injured and noted the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps holds significant influence. With no confirmed direct verbal interaction and Iranian leadership emphasizing mediated channels through December 2026, trader consensus reflects low implied probability absent a major diplomatic shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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