**Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster, rebuilt in July 2026 into an international lineup featuring XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, Jimpphat, and kyxsan under coach ash, continues to face integration and consistency challenges that support a 71% implied probability of an additional roster move by December 31.** The summer overhaul replaced the prior Turkish-core group (including MAJ3R and soulfly) after mixed major results, aiming to improve in-game leadership and firepower. However, post-rebuild performances have shown variability, with reports of mental lapses, map-pool limitations, and calls for further upgrades such as a stronger star rifler or refined roles. CS2 organizations routinely adjust lineups around contract windows, major qualifiers, and performance reviews, especially when early results fall short of expectations. Trader consensus prices in these factors—recent form volatility, the precedent of multiple 2026 changes, and the compressed timeline to year-end—while acknowledging that stable results or successful adaptation could reduce the likelihood of further moves. Resolution hinges on HLTV-listed starter changes, excluding coaches or temporary stand-ins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour71% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
71% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster, rebuilt in July 2026 into an international lineup featuring XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, Jimpphat, and kyxsan under coach ash, continues to face integration and consistency challenges that support a 71% implied probability of an additional roster move by December 31.**
The summer overhaul replaced the prior Turkish-core group (including MAJ3R and soulfly) after mixed major results, aiming to improve in-game leadership and firepower. However, post-rebuild performances have shown variability, with reports of mental lapses, map-pool limitations, and calls for further upgrades such as a stronger star rifler or refined roles. CS2 organizations routinely adjust lineups around contract windows, major qualifiers, and performance reviews, especially when early results fall short of expectations.
Trader consensus prices in these factors—recent form volatility, the precedent of multiple 2026 changes, and the compressed timeline to year-end—while acknowledging that stable results or successful adaptation could reduce the likelihood of further moves. Resolution hinges on HLTV-listed starter changes, excluding coaches or temporary stand-ins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
Volume
$332Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBoxRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster, rebuilt in July 2026 into an international lineup featuring XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, Jimpphat, and kyxsan under coach ash, continues to face integration and consistency challenges that support a 71% implied probability of an additional roster move by December 31.**
The summer overhaul replaced the prior Turkish-core group (including MAJ3R and soulfly) after mixed major results, aiming to improve in-game leadership and firepower. However, post-rebuild performances have shown variability, with reports of mental lapses, map-pool limitations, and calls for further upgrades such as a stronger star rifler or refined roles. CS2 organizations routinely adjust lineups around contract windows, major qualifiers, and performance reviews, especially when early results fall short of expectations.
Trader consensus prices in these factors—recent form volatility, the precedent of multiple 2026 changes, and the compressed timeline to year-end—while acknowledging that stable results or successful adaptation could reduce the likelihood of further moves. Resolution hinges on HLTV-listed starter changes, excluding coaches or temporary stand-ins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Aurora's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Wicadia, woxic, XANTARES, Jimpphat, kyxsan. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$332Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 8:21 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBoxRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Aurora Gaming’s CS2 roster, rebuilt in July 2026 into an international lineup featuring XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, Jimpphat, and kyxsan under coach ash, continues to face integration and consistency challenges that support a 71% implied probability of an additional roster move by December 31.** The summer overhaul replaced the prior Turkish-core group (including MAJ3R and soulfly) after mixed major results, aiming to improve in-game leadership and firepower. However, post-rebuild performances have shown variability, with reports of mental lapses, map-pool limitations, and calls for further upgrades such as a stronger star rifler or refined roles. CS2 organizations routinely adjust lineups around contract windows, major qualifiers, and performance reviews, especially when early results fall short of expectations. Trader consensus prices in these factors—recent form volatility, the precedent of multiple 2026 changes, and the compressed timeline to year-end—while acknowledging that stable results or successful adaptation could reduce the likelihood of further moves. Resolution hinges on HLTV-listed starter changes, excluding coaches or temporary stand-ins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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