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icon for La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ?

La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ?

icon for La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ?

La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ?

$119,139 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$119,139 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$35,387 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.North Korea continues to reject direct engagement with South Korea, maintaining its policy of treating the South as a hostile state while focusing on military modernization and ballistic missile tests. As of September 2026, recent launches and statements from officials including Kim Yo-jong have signaled no interest in resuming inter-Korean dialogue on South Korean terms. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has pursued outreach and proposed talks on ending the Korean War armistice and advancing a peace regime, yet these efforts have received no positive response. U.S. President Trump’s push for a possible summit with Kim Jong-un, including scaled-back joint exercises, represents the main diplomatic channel under discussion, with Seoul seeking to leverage any U.S.-North Korea progress toward broader peninsula stability. Structural barriers such as denuclearization disputes and Pyongyang’s preference for bilateral U.S. talks keep prospects for direct North-South negotiations limited in the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$119,139
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.North Korea continues to reject direct engagement with South Korea, maintaining its policy of treating the South as a hostile state while focusing on military modernization and ballistic missile tests. As of September 2026, recent launches and statements from officials including Kim Yo-jong have signaled no interest in resuming inter-Korean dialogue on South Korean terms. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has pursued outreach and proposed talks on ending the Korean War armistice and advancing a peace regime, yet these efforts have received no positive response. U.S. President Trump’s push for a possible summit with Kim Jong-un, including scaled-back joint exercises, represents the main diplomatic channel under discussion, with Seoul seeking to leverage any U.S.-North Korea progress toward broader peninsula stability. Structural barriers such as denuclearization disputes and Pyongyang’s preference for bilateral U.S. talks keep prospects for direct North-South negotiations limited in the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$119,139
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 18%, suivi de « 30 juin » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 18¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ? » a généré $119.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 18%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 juin » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La Corée du Nord et la Corée du Sud engageront-elles des pourparlers directs d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.