Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
96% chance
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
Anthropic
96% chance
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$338,517Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$338,517Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including its June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent shift to a late-September prospectus with mid-October marketing, have driven the 96.4% market-implied probability it will list before OpenAI. The Claude developer is targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation and a Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by major banks and a $15 billion credit facility. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not translated into an active timeline, with its CFO signaling a likely 2027 debut tied to $1 trillion valuation goals amid market caution after other large tech floats. While this consensus reflects verified progress, last-minute regulatory reviews, valuation resets, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's strategy could still alter the outcome before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
L'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic aura-t-elle lieu en octobre 2026 (ET) ?
59%
Oui
Anthropic ou OpenAI : laquelle aura une capitalisation boursière plus élevée lors de la clôture de son introduction en bourse ?
68%
Anthropic
La capitalisation boursière d’Anthropic atteindra-t-elle 600 milliards de dollars ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
96%
Oui
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