Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a structural edge in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District through his long tenure since 2007 and repeated double-digit reelection margins, including 56.3% in 2024, which aligns with the area’s modest Republican lean. Shannon Taylor secured the Democratic nomination after an August 4 primary victory and has drawn national party support plus strong fundraising as Henrico County’s top prosecutor. Most forecasters rate the November 3 contest Lean or Likely Republican, though recent Democratic statewide gains in the district have kept the race competitive. Trader pricing reflects Wittman’s incumbency and district fundamentals as the primary drivers of his lead, tempered by Taylor’s profile and the broader midterm environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$28,431 Vol.
$28,431 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Rob Wittman (R)
60%
Shannon Taylor (D)
42%
$28,431 Vol.
$28,431 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Rob Wittman (R)
$6,864 Vol.
60%
Shannon Taylor (D)
$21,567 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a structural edge in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District through his long tenure since 2007 and repeated double-digit reelection margins, including 56.3% in 2024, which aligns with the area’s modest Republican lean. Shannon Taylor secured the Democratic nomination after an August 4 primary victory and has drawn national party support plus strong fundraising as Henrico County’s top prosecutor. Most forecasters rate the November 3 contest Lean or Likely Republican, though recent Democratic statewide gains in the district have kept the race competitive. Trader pricing reflects Wittman’s incumbency and district fundamentals as the primary drivers of his lead, tempered by Taylor’s profile and the broader midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$28,431Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a structural edge in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District through his long tenure since 2007 and repeated double-digit reelection margins, including 56.3% in 2024, which aligns with the area’s modest Republican lean. Shannon Taylor secured the Democratic nomination after an August 4 primary victory and has drawn national party support plus strong fundraising as Henrico County’s top prosecutor. Most forecasters rate the November 3 contest Lean or Likely Republican, though recent Democratic statewide gains in the district have kept the race competitive. Trader pricing reflects Wittman’s incumbency and district fundamentals as the primary drivers of his lead, tempered by Taylor’s profile and the broader midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,431Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rob Wittman holds a structural edge in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District through his long tenure since 2007 and repeated double-digit reelection margins, including 56.3% in 2024, which aligns with the area’s modest Republican lean. Shannon Taylor secured the Democratic nomination after an August 4 primary victory and has drawn national party support plus strong fundraising as Henrico County’s top prosecutor. Most forecasters rate the November 3 contest Lean or Likely Republican, though recent Democratic statewide gains in the district have kept the race competitive. Trader pricing reflects Wittman’s incumbency and district fundamentals as the primary drivers of his lead, tempered by Taylor’s profile and the broader midterm environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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