PP leads trader consensus for the Cáceres constituency in Spain’s November 29 general election at 68% implied probability, reflecting consistent provincial polling averages that project the party ahead of PSOE. Recent national surveys show PP maintaining a 4–5 point edge over PSOE, with Vox in third, while Extremadura’s December 2025 regional results reinforced PP strength in the province through gains in both Cáceres and Badajoz. PP-Vox coordination on Senate lists and local campaigning on infrastructure and administrative delays have supported right-leaning positioning, though the four-seat allocation remains competitive with PSOE retaining a viable second-place outlook around 20–30% in models. No major late-breaking shifts have altered these relative standings in the final weeks.