Recent polls in the final weeks of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in vote intention, while the Parti libéral du Québec edges or ties the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place amid shifting regional support and high numbers of undecided voters. Seat projections reflect this contest, with the PLQ positioned to secure enough ridings for official opposition status in many simulations, though the CAQ retains competitive strength in key areas. Ongoing debates and late-campaign movement among smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire add volatility that could alter the second-place outcome before election night. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the narrow margins and sensitivity to final turnout patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPLQ 60%
CAQ 40%
PQ 4.5%
PCQ <1%
$29,364 Vol.
$29,364 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
60%
CAQ
40%
PQ
5%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 60%
CAQ 40%
PQ 4.5%
PCQ <1%
$29,364 Vol.
$29,364 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
$7,480 Vol.
60%
CAQ
$9,989 Vol.
40%
PQ
$6,871 Vol.
5%
PCQ
$1,837 Vol.
<1%
QS
$1,788 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls in the final weeks of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in vote intention, while the Parti libéral du Québec edges or ties the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place amid shifting regional support and high numbers of undecided voters. Seat projections reflect this contest, with the PLQ positioned to secure enough ridings for official opposition status in many simulations, though the CAQ retains competitive strength in key areas. Ongoing debates and late-campaign movement among smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire add volatility that could alter the second-place outcome before election night. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the narrow margins and sensitivity to final turnout patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$29,364Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls in the final weeks of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in vote intention, while the Parti libéral du Québec edges or ties the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place amid shifting regional support and high numbers of undecided voters. Seat projections reflect this contest, with the PLQ positioned to secure enough ridings for official opposition status in many simulations, though the CAQ retains competitive strength in key areas. Ongoing debates and late-campaign movement among smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire add volatility that could alter the second-place outcome before election night. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the narrow margins and sensitivity to final turnout patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$29,364Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in the final weeks of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in vote intention, while the Parti libéral du Québec edges or ties the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place amid shifting regional support and high numbers of undecided voters. Seat projections reflect this contest, with the PLQ positioned to secure enough ridings for official opposition status in many simulations, though the CAQ retains competitive strength in key areas. Ongoing debates and late-campaign movement among smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire add volatility that could alter the second-place outcome before election night. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the narrow margins and sensitivity to final turnout patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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