Morena maintains a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its strong results in the 2024 general election, sustained popularity under President Claudia Sheinbaum, and control of most governorships and congressional seats. Recent national polling shows Morena holding roughly 48 percent effective voter preference, well ahead of the PAN, PRI, and MC, while the opposition remains fragmented after the PAN ended its alliance with the PRI. The federal electoral process formally begins on September 10, 2026, for the June 6, 2027, vote to renew all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Trader consensus reflects Morena’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts in public sentiment. Potential challenges include a unified opposition coalition, significant economic underperformance, or major late-campaign developments that erode the party’s current edge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMorena 91.3%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.1%
MC <1%
$103,806 Vol.
$103,806 Vol.
5 juin 2027
Morena
91%
PAN
6%
PRI
2%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 91.3%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.1%
MC <1%
$103,806 Vol.
$103,806 Vol.
5 juin 2027
Morena
$56,644 Vol.
91%
PAN
$17,547 Vol.
6%
PRI
$8,469 Vol.
2%
MC
$8,875 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,129 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its strong results in the 2024 general election, sustained popularity under President Claudia Sheinbaum, and control of most governorships and congressional seats. Recent national polling shows Morena holding roughly 48 percent effective voter preference, well ahead of the PAN, PRI, and MC, while the opposition remains fragmented after the PAN ended its alliance with the PRI. The federal electoral process formally begins on September 10, 2026, for the June 6, 2027, vote to renew all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Trader consensus reflects Morena’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts in public sentiment. Potential challenges include a unified opposition coalition, significant economic underperformance, or major late-campaign developments that erode the party’s current edge.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$103,806Date de fin
6 juin 2027Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its strong results in the 2024 general election, sustained popularity under President Claudia Sheinbaum, and control of most governorships and congressional seats. Recent national polling shows Morena holding roughly 48 percent effective voter preference, well ahead of the PAN, PRI, and MC, while the opposition remains fragmented after the PAN ended its alliance with the PRI. The federal electoral process formally begins on September 10, 2026, for the June 6, 2027, vote to renew all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Trader consensus reflects Morena’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts in public sentiment. Potential challenges include a unified opposition coalition, significant economic underperformance, or major late-campaign developments that erode the party’s current edge.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$103,806Date de fin
6 juin 2027Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its strong results in the 2024 general election, sustained popularity under President Claudia Sheinbaum, and control of most governorships and congressional seats. Recent national polling shows Morena holding roughly 48 percent effective voter preference, well ahead of the PAN, PRI, and MC, while the opposition remains fragmented after the PAN ended its alliance with the PRI. The federal electoral process formally begins on September 10, 2026, for the June 6, 2027, vote to renew all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Trader consensus reflects Morena’s structural advantages and limited recent shifts in public sentiment. Potential challenges include a unified opposition coalition, significant economic underperformance, or major late-campaign developments that erode the party’s current edge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes