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icon for Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ?
Monde·Grève

Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ?

icon for Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ?
Monde·Grève

Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ?

8 65.3%

9 30.3%

10 2.4%

11 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,705,989 Vol.

8 65.3%

9 30.3%

10 2.4%

11 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,705,989 Vol.

icon for 8

8

$320,377 Vol.

65%

icon for 9

9

$122,685 Vol.

30%

icon for 10

10

$30,654 Vol.

2%

icon for 11

11

$29,623 Vol.

2%

icon for 12

12

$50,179 Vol.

1%

icon for 13

13

$103,378 Vol.

1%

icon for 14

14

$152,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for 15+

15+

$130,852 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military strikes in 2026 have centered on sustained operations against Iran, targeted actions in Venezuela and Ecuador tied to counter-narcotics efforts, and ongoing counterterrorism strikes in Somalia.** These theaters, combined with limited activity in a small number of additional countries such as Iraq and Syria, have kept the total count of distinct countries struck on their soil in a narrow band. Trader consensus favoring 8 or 9 outcomes reflects the absence of major new theaters opening through mid-September, despite the active Iran exchanges and expanded Latin American interdictions. No large-scale escalations into additional nations have occurred in recent weeks, and resolution criteria focus strictly on acknowledged aerial, missile, or drone strikes impacting foreign ground territory. With several months remaining, further expansion would require new conflicts or broadened campaigns beyond current patterns.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,705,989
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military strikes in 2026 have centered on sustained operations against Iran, targeted actions in Venezuela and Ecuador tied to counter-narcotics efforts, and ongoing counterterrorism strikes in Somalia.** These theaters, combined with limited activity in a small number of additional countries such as Iraq and Syria, have kept the total count of distinct countries struck on their soil in a narrow band. Trader consensus favoring 8 or 9 outcomes reflects the absence of major new theaters opening through mid-September, despite the active Iran exchanges and expanded Latin American interdictions. No large-scale escalations into additional nations have occurred in recent weeks, and resolution criteria focus strictly on acknowledged aerial, missile, or drone strikes impacting foreign ground territory. With several months remaining, further expansion would require new conflicts or broadened campaigns beyond current patterns.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,705,989
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

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76%
Oui
icon for Frappes américaines sur Cuba d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Frappes américaines sur Cuba d'ici le 31 décembre ?

14%
Oui
icon for Frappe américaine sur le Mexique d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Frappe américaine sur le Mexique d'ici le 31 décembre ?

8%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 8 » à 65%, suivi de « 9 » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 65¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 65% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ? » a généré $1.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ? » est « 8 » à 65%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 65% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 9 » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de pays différents les États-Unis mèneront-ils une action militaire contre en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.