Neon’s wide 1,500-theater U.S. rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller *Hope* on September 9 positions the film for a modest domestic opening weekend, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to sub-$6 million. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and mixed-to-positive reviews (77% on Rotten Tomatoes) temper expectations despite strong South Korean results ($11.3 million debut) and Cannes buzz. Presales and premium-format availability provide a floor, yet historical variance for imported genre titles and competition in early September create uncertainty around mainstream appeal. Key catalysts include the first daily tracking numbers and word-of-mouth trajectory heading into the three-day frame.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « Hope »
<6 M 44%
9-10 millions 29%
6-7M 27%
7-8 millions 23%
<6 M
44%
6-7M
27%
7-8 millions
23%
8-9M
21%
9-10 millions
29%
10M+
19%
<6 M 44%
9-10 millions 29%
6-7M 27%
7-8 millions 23%
<6 M
44%
6-7M
27%
7-8 millions
23%
8-9M
21%
9-10 millions
29%
10M+
19%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Neon’s wide 1,500-theater U.S. rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi action thriller *Hope* on September 9 positions the film for a modest domestic opening weekend, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to sub-$6 million. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and mixed-to-positive reviews (77% on Rotten Tomatoes) temper expectations despite strong South Korean results ($11.3 million debut) and Cannes buzz. Presales and premium-format availability provide a floor, yet historical variance for imported genre titles and competition in early September create uncertainty around mainstream appeal. Key catalysts include the first daily tracking numbers and word-of-mouth trajectory heading into the three-day frame.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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