France’s fragmented National Assembly continues to operate under a weak minority government led by Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, which is advancing passage of the delayed 2026 budget through procedural mechanisms rather than broad consensus. President Emmanuel Macron has shown no recent signs of invoking Article 12 to dissolve the chamber ahead of the April 2027 presidential election, consistent with strategic calculations that a post-presidential snap vote could better align legislative majorities with the new executive. Polling indicates persistent division among centrist candidates and strength for National Rally and left blocs, yet constitutional limits and the risk of a hung outcome have kept dissolution talk muted. Upcoming budget finalization and presidential campaign events remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift timing expectations for any early legislative contest.
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