The dominant trader consensus favoring cancellation of the 2026 United Left primary stems from the Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in favor of its own closed primary process, alongside La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent non-involvement. This left only smaller movements such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! committed, with subsequent candidate withdrawals including those of Benjamin Lucas-Lundy and Clémentine Autain further eroding the October 11 schedule. Market pricing reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination for the 2027 presidential election. Reversal would require at least one major participant to reverse course or organizers to confirm the event proceeds despite the narrowed field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnnulé 90.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$226,253 Vol.
$226,253 Vol.
10 oct. 2026
Annulé
90%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Annulé 90.5%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$226,253 Vol.
$226,253 Vol.
10 oct. 2026
Annulé
$90,540 Vol.
90%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The dominant trader consensus favoring cancellation of the 2026 United Left primary stems from the Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in favor of its own closed primary process, alongside La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent non-involvement. This left only smaller movements such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! committed, with subsequent candidate withdrawals including those of Benjamin Lucas-Lundy and Clémentine Autain further eroding the October 11 schedule. Market pricing reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination for the 2027 presidential election. Reversal would require at least one major participant to reverse course or organizers to confirm the event proceeds despite the narrowed field.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$226,253Date de fin
11 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The dominant trader consensus favoring cancellation of the 2026 United Left primary stems from the Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in favor of its own closed primary process, alongside La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent non-involvement. This left only smaller movements such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! committed, with subsequent candidate withdrawals including those of Benjamin Lucas-Lundy and Clémentine Autain further eroding the October 11 schedule. Market pricing reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination for the 2027 presidential election. Reversal would require at least one major participant to reverse course or organizers to confirm the event proceeds despite the narrowed field.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$226,253Date de fin
11 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The dominant trader consensus favoring cancellation of the 2026 United Left primary stems from the Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote rejecting participation in favor of its own closed primary process, alongside La France Insoumise and Place Publique's consistent non-involvement. This left only smaller movements such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! committed, with subsequent candidate withdrawals including those of Benjamin Lucas-Lundy and Clémentine Autain further eroding the October 11 schedule. Market pricing reflects these structural barriers to a joint nomination for the 2027 presidential election. Reversal would require at least one major participant to reverse course or organizers to confirm the event proceeds despite the narrowed field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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