Early in the 2026-27 Premier League campaign, after just three matchweeks, the sack race market stays tightly bunched because multiple clubs sit near the bottom with zero or one point. Fulham’s winless start under new manager Alvaro Arbeloa, who has conceded in every game, has drawn the most scrutiny, while promoted sides like Coventry under Frank Lampard and mid-table teams such as Tottenham (Roberto De Zerbi) and Aston Villa (Unai Emery) have also posted poor results. Several clubs changed managers over the summer, injecting fresh uncertainty around expectations and owner patience. With limited fixtures played, recent form, squad investment, and fixture difficulty remain fluid, keeping implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh which side’s results will deteriorate fastest.