The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s final season has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, five Creative Arts wins in early September including writing and directing for a variety series, and the emotional weight of CBS’s May cancellation. This farewell narrative, paired with strong technical and creative nods, positions the show as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, an area award where nominees are judged individually against a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail with far fewer precursor signals or momentum shifts. Final-round voting closed in late August, leaving the September 14 ceremony as the remaining catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Meilleure série de variétés
Emmys 2026 : Meilleure série de variétés
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert » 81%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.9%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! » 5.6%
« Saturday Night Live » 2.4%
$117,047 Vol.
$117,047 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert »
81%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
6%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! »
6%
« Saturday Night Live »
2%
« The Daily Show »
2%
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert » 81%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.9%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! » 5.6%
« Saturday Night Live » 2.4%
$117,047 Vol.
$117,047 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert »
$39,090 Vol.
81%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$21,576 Vol.
6%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! »
$26,939 Vol.
6%
« Saturday Night Live »
$13,981 Vol.
2%
« The Daily Show »
$15,461 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s final season has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, five Creative Arts wins in early September including writing and directing for a variety series, and the emotional weight of CBS’s May cancellation. This farewell narrative, paired with strong technical and creative nods, positions the show as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, an area award where nominees are judged individually against a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail with far fewer precursor signals or momentum shifts. Final-round voting closed in late August, leaving the September 14 ceremony as the remaining catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volume
$117,047Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s final season has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, five Creative Arts wins in early September including writing and directing for a variety series, and the emotional weight of CBS’s May cancellation. This farewell narrative, paired with strong technical and creative nods, positions the show as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, an area award where nominees are judged individually against a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail with far fewer precursor signals or momentum shifts. Final-round voting closed in late August, leaving the September 14 ceremony as the remaining catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,047Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s final season has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, five Creative Arts wins in early September including writing and directing for a variety series, and the emotional weight of CBS’s May cancellation. This farewell narrative, paired with strong technical and creative nods, positions the show as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, an area award where nominees are judged individually against a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail with far fewer precursor signals or momentum shifts. Final-round voting closed in late August, leaving the September 14 ceremony as the remaining catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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